Thinking about pulling your Ancient Shards for the x20 event? Hold your fire.
I ran the numbers, and the "Progressive Chance" is a math trap designed to drain your resources.
The Double RNG Problem
First, you have to hit the 8% chance to even see an Epic. That means 92% of the time, you are just getting a 3-star chicken.
Second, even if you get purple lightning, the x20 boost only gives you about a 7% chance to get the specific champion you want. The other 93%? It’s just a random Epic.
The Verdict
Your real odds are 0.6% per shard.
Save your shards for a 2x Event. Don't let the casino win.
- Skroll, Editor-in-Chief